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Finance


2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
Having drifted flat for weeks at around a 1-in-3 chance - despite endless jawboning from The Fed - March rate hike odds suddenly surged higher today (to up to a 50% probability), or as Reuters put it "out of the blue."Dallas Fed's Kaplan said this morning that a rate increase should happen sooner than later, adding that"[The Fed] wants to prevent a situation where we fall behind the curve." As Reu

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
After meeting with GOP governors who, as discussed yesterday, appeared to have gotten cold feet about repealing and replacing Obamacare (or repairing and renaming) if it means millions of Americans - and potential voters - losing coverage, not to mention the end of billions in Federal funding for various projects, President Trump reached an important conclusion: Reforming the health care system is

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
It appears David Stockman's warnings over the looming debt ceiling debacle has sparked some investors to face up to reality once again. The Treasury-Bill yield curve has inverted further and swap spreads soared to five-year highs.The difference between 2-year swap rates and Treasury yields has widened back to 37.5 basis points which is the highest since March 2012. Societe Generale analysts le

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
By EconMatters We discuss the valuation question in this video, and Warren Buffet`s assertion that stocks are not in a bubble. Warren didn`t you say to buy when there is Blood in the Streets? Warren Buffet says a lot of contradictory things, take everything he says with a massive grain of Salt. Nobody, professional or amateur investor should be buying stocks at these bubble levels, period!©

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
With bond and stock markets having recently bifurcated, signalling two distinctly different outlooks on the future of the reflation trade, the confusion among the "smartest money" persists. Close up this looks even more divergent. Friday was the 6th day in a row that The Dow and the Long Bond have risen in price together... equal record longest streak (1989 and 1994)As we noted last night, in

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
Via Simon Black of SovereignMan.com,It’s my usual custom whenever I land at a major airport to stop by the rental car counters and inquire how much it costs to rent a vehicle.For me this is a sort of informal, albeit imperfect, economic indicator.High prices suggest strong demand from plenty of business travelers and tourists, which will likely have a positive economic impact.Cheap prices, c

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
By EconMatters We discuss the 11:00 am (CST) move in Bonds, Equities, Gold, VIX, and the Currency Markets in this video. It all starts with cheap Central Bank Money! Are these the kinds of incentives Central Banks should be allowed to let happen by creating excessive leverage with borrowed money to juice of bigger stock market bubbles? Central Banks need to be aware of the financial system risk th

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
One week ago, following news that China had banned coal imports from North Korea in retaliation to Kim Jong Un's latest ballistic missile test, we mused that North Korea's regime appears to be in jeopardy, even though we had no explicit knowledge of tensions inside the top echelons of the country's political system. It now appears that those concerns may have been justified. According to AP, North

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
Via Howard Kunstler of Kunstler.com,We need a new civil war like we need a hole in the head. But that’s just it: America has a hole in its head. It’s the place formerly known as The Center. It didn’t hold. It was the place where people of differing views could rely on each other to behave reasonably around a touchstone called the National Interest. That abandoned place is now cor

2 hours ago (via zerohedge.com)
Via The Daily BellTrump’s Fed Can Start a Central Bank Revolution … President Donald Trump will select three members of the Federal Reserve board during his term in office, including a replacement chair for Janet Yellen when her appointment expires early next year. He should seize the chance to refresh the Fed with faces from the business community, adding executives to the roster of PhD econo




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